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Australian Antarctic Data Centre

SIMR - (State of Environment)

State of Environment

System for Indicator Management and Reporting - an on-line State of Environment system for the Antarctic.

Indicator 32 - Fecundity and pup growth in fur seal colonies on Macquarie Island

  Index - Description | Data | Custodian evaluation | Related resources | Parameters

Fur seal and pup. Red Island, Heard Island (AAD Photo 1871/ C4) by Grahame Budd, 1/2/1971
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Indicator Definition The fecundity (pupping rates) of female fur seals and the growth rates of
their pups relative to changes in sea surface temperatures (local primary
production) in the vicinity of Macquarie Island.


Responsible
Organisation
organisation logo
La Trobe University (details)
Custodians
SIMON GOLDSWORTHY
goldsworthy.simon@saugov.sa.gov.au
INVESTIGATOR


South Australia
Australia

Theme Area Biodiversity
Indicator Type Condition   
Criteria the
Indicator Satisfies
The following 11 out of 15 criteria
1. Serve as a robust indicator of environmental change
2. Reflect a fundamental or highly-valued aspect of the environment or an important environmental issue
3. Be either national in scope or applicable to regional environmental issues of national significance
4. Provide an early warning of potential problems
5. Be capable of being monitored to provide statistically verifiable and reproducible data that shows trends over time and, preferably, apply to a broad range of environmental regions
6. Be scientifically credible
7. Be easy to understand
8. Be monitored with relative ease
9. Be cost-effective
10. Have relevance to policy and management needs
13. Contribute to the fulfillment of reporting obligations under international agreements
For details of indicators, see the State of Environment Bibliography entries 16336 and 16337
Date Input Yearly measurements
Monitoring Location Macquarie Island (details)  

Geographic Coverage is

    Latitude (-54.0 to -53.0)
    Longitude (158.0 to 159.0)

Rationale For Indicator Selection A highly negative correlation has been detected between sea surface
temperatures in the vicinity of Macquarie Island and fur seal fecundity and
pup growth. A dataset of over ten years has shown that autumn sea-surface
temperatures are highly negatively correlated with female fecundity in the
following breeding season.


Rather than the reproductive success in terms of fecundity and pup growth
being seen simply as a correlate of SST and presumably ocean productivity, the
measure is much more than this. What the dataset from the Macquarie Island fur
seal populations is rather more unique, in that they indicate how
environmental variability effects the reproductive success of animals at
annual and lifetime scales. This is especially important as we can now show
what impacts environmental/climatic phenomena such as the Antarctic
Circumpolar Wave, and global warming will have on fur seals, and how changes
in the environment may impact on the viability of populations.
In this situation, the data clearly suggest that warmer ocean temperatures
significantly effect the reproductive success of fur seals. Sustained warmer
temperatures would therefore impose demographic constraints on populations.


Design and Strategy For Indicator Monitoring Program Spatial scale: SST data are obtained from a 1 degree square just north of the
island that represents the region in which most females obtain food throughout
their lactation period.


Frequency: Data on the reproductive success of fur seals is to be collected
annually.


Measurement technique: Each breeding season (November-January), the
reproductive success of tagged females is monitored, including their pupping
success, and the growth rates of their pups.


Research Issues

Data

Timespan: 1990 to 1999.
Number of data points: 20.

To view or download any of the data, you must be logged into the Data Centre Portal. If you return to this indicator, you will find a Search Data link that will allow you to view or extract the data for this indicator.



Macquarie Island: Water Temperature


Macquarie Island: Pupping rate


Data Quality, Interpretation and
Analysis of Indicator Data

The Macquarie Island fur seal population consists of a marked, and largely known-aged population of fur seals. Each breeding season (November-January), the reproductive success of tagged females is monitored, including their pupping success, and the growth rates of their pups.

Data from surface chlorophyll A concentration indicates that cooler sea-surface temperatures are associated with great local production in the vicinity of Macquarie Island. Cooler SSTs therefore are likely to be indicative of greater primary production and food availability for seal populations. Autumn months (March-May) are a period when female fur seals begin their active phase of placental gestation (after 4 months delayed implantation), it is also a period when the energy demand of suckling pups are greatest (end of lactation for Antarctic fur seals). As a period of nutritional stress, environmental variability in food abundance is most significant at this time. SST appears to provide a simple and reliable indicator of the state of the environment at this time, and in fact can be used as a window to predict pupping success 6-7 months in advance of the breeding season.

Analysis of reproductive success and SST data over a number of years enables correlations between changes in regional oceanography and seal reproductive success to be assessed.


Data Distribution
DATA OFFICER AADC
metadata@aad.gov.au
Australian Antarctic Division
203 Channel Highway
Kingston
Tasmania 7050
Australia
Ph +61 3 6232 3244
Data Access Constraints
These data are publicly available for download from the URL given below.


Custodian Evaluation
Date entered Evaluation
16-May-2002 There is a strong negative relationship (r square = 0.81)between mean March sea surface temperature (SST) in the 1x1 degree grid north of Macquarie Island (centred around 54.5 d S, 158.5 d E) where lactating fur seals forage, and fecundity (pupping rate) in the subsequent breeding season (Nov-Dec). SST is likely to be negatively correlated with primary productivity, hence food availability. March is a period where pups are weaning, so energy demands on females are great, it is also a period just prior to implantation of the blastocyst, and the commencement of the placental phase of gestation. Hence, condition of females at this time, is likely to be critical to successful pregnancy, that effects their fecundity (percentage of females known to be alive that pup in a given season) in the following breeding season. It appears that SST in March provides and index of food availability that has a significant bearing on the reproductive performance of the colony, explaining approximately 81% of the variance in fecundity in any given year. It also gives some indication of the potential concerns to population viability in face of a rise in SST in the region, and indicates the high sensitivity of fecundity to even small changes in mean SST, and presumably primary production in the region around Macquarie Island.

25-Nov-2002
Condition scale - 4 - fair condition

1 - the environment degraded to the point where rehabilitation is impossible
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
7 - the environment is pristine, in perfect condition, no anthropogenic influences

State of Knowledge scale - 3

1 - Poor
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
7 - Excellent

For definitions of the Scale categories, consult the Explanation of the Status Categories

Related resources

    Metadata SOE_fur_seals - Environmental determinants of fecundity and pup growth in fur seals
    Project 859 - The conservation of fur seals in the antarctic marine ecosystem
    SOE Indicator 31 - Annual population estimates of Southern Elephant Seals at Macquarie Island
    SOE Indicator 33 - Annual catch in tonnes of marine species harvested in Australian Antarctic and sub-Antarctic waters
    SOE Indicator 36 - Numbers of species protected at various levels of conservation status
    SOE Indicator 37 - Species and numbers of species killed, taken or interfered with or disturbed in the Antarctic and the sub-Antarctic for the purpose of scientific research
    SOE Indicator 39 - Average Chlorophyll concentrations for the Southern Ocean across latitude bands 40-50 deg S, 50-60 deg S, 60 deg S-continent
    SOE Indicator 45 - Monthly collections of marine debris from Sandell Bay beach on Macquarie Island (categories and mass)
    Taxonomy 25908 - Arctocephalus gazella Antarctic Fur Seal
    Taxonomy 25909 - Arctocephalus tropicalis Subantarctic Fur Seal
Parameters
The properties link can be used to view details of the parameters measured for this indicator.

Parameter NameUnit of measure Properties
Pupping rate % (properties)
Water Temperature deg C (properties)
The following parameters and/or sensor notes are from the metadata record.

Parameters -
EARTH SCIENCE > BIOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION > ANIMALS/VERTEBRATES > MAMMALS
EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > ECOLOGICAL DYNAMICS > ECOSYSTEM FUNCTIONS
EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > ECOLOGICAL DYNAMICS > SPECIES/POPULATION INTERACTIONS
EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN CHEMISTRY > PIGMENTS
EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN TEMPERATURE > SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE